Africa Cup of Nations
Wednesday, 14 January 2026Updated today
S

Senegal

Home
vs
E

Egypt

Away
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Senegal(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Senegal
41%
Draw
29%
Egypt
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Senegal41%
Draw29%
Egypt31%

Senegal leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Senegal head into this in Africa Cup of Nations fixture in unknown form, while Egypt arrive in unknown form.

Senegal have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Egypt have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Senegal and Egypt in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Senegal to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Senegal 4100%, Draw 2850%, Egypt 3050%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Senegal vs Egypt?

GoalVio's model predicts Senegal to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Senegal vs Egypt?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Senegal vs Egypt?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Senegal vs Egypt?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more