Senegal U20vs
Sierra Leone U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 10/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Senegal U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Senegal U20 0-0 Sierra Leone U20
Original prediction
Senegal U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.9% | 46.2% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 27.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.46 | 20.2% | 26.3% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Senegal U20
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Senegal U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60