Senegal U20vs
Mauritania U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 10/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Senegal U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Senegal U20 0-0 Mauritania U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Senegal U20 2-1 Mauritania U20
Original prediction
Senegal U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 71.4% | 45.4% | -26.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.97 | 18.2% | 27.8% | 9.6 pts |
| Away | 8.65 | 10.4% | 26.8% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.0 pts
Projected Score
Senegal U20 0–0 Mauritania U20
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Senegal U20
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Senegal U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80