Serbia · Cup · 10/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Semendrija 1924 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 08:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 31.4% | 36.7% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.7% | 27.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.9% | 35.4% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Semendrija 1924
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Semendrija 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Semendrija 1924LDLWW
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
TSC Backa TopolaWWWWD
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Semendrija 1924TSC Backa Topola
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.52xG1.29