Semendrija 1924vs
Naftagas
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Semendrija 1924 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Semendrija 1924 1-1 Naftagas
Original prediction
Semendrija 1924
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.5% | 54.9% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 21.7% | 23.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 8.30 | 10.8% | 21.6% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Semendrija 1924
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Semendrija 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00