GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/12/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Semendrija 1924 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Mladost Novi Sad are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Semendrija 1924 hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Semendrija 1924WL

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Mladost Novi SadDLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Semendrija 1924Mladost Novi Sad
36.0Attack32.4
72.1Defence66.7
50.5Form42.6
54.9Power49.4
0.79xG0.49
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