GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 10/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Semendrija 1924 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Semendrija 1924 1-0 FK Vozdovac

Original prediction

Semendrija 1924

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8449.0%42.8%-6.2 pts
Draw3.2927.5%29.5%2.1 pts
Away3.8323.5%27.6%4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–014%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Semendrija 1924

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Semendrija 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Semendrija 1924WWWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FK VozdovacDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Semendrija 1924FK Vozdovac
83.3Attack40.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form46.7
89.7Power53.0
1.40xG0.83
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