GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Semendrija 1924 0-0 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Semendrija 1924 2-1 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5135.8%36.4%0.6 pts
Draw3.1928.1%31.0%2.9 pts
Away2.4836.1%32.6%-3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.9 pts

Projected Score

Semendrija 1924 0–0 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.0%

Model confidence

36.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Semendrija 1924LLDDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Semendrija 1924FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
36.0Attack83.3
72.1Defence50.0
50.5Form66.7
54.9Power68.0
1.00xG0.79
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