Semen Padangvs
PSPS
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Semen Padang · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Semen Padang 0-1 PSPS
Original prediction
Semen Padang
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 51.5% | 44.1% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 27.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.1% | 28.7% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Semen Padang
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Semen Padang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40