Semen Padangvs
PSIS Semarang
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Semen Padang · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Semen Padang 2-0 PSIS Semarang, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Semen Padang 1-1 PSIS Semarang
Original prediction
Semen Padang
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 51.7% | 70.4% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.7% | 19.3% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.3% | -12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.7 pts
Projected Score
Semen Padang 2–0 PSIS Semarang
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Semen Padang
Probability
70.4%
Model confidence
70.4%
Semen Padang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80