Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Selfoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Selfoss are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Magni are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Selfoss hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the 2. Deild, while Selfoss holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Selfoss
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
8.0%
Selfoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80