Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kári · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Selfoss are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kári are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 61.8 against 59.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.5% in the 2. Deild, while Kári holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kári
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
6.5%
Kári has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20