Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haukar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Selfoss are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Haukar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Haukar hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the 2. Deild, while Haukar holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haukar
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Haukar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40