Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fjolnir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Selfoss are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Fjolnir are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fjolnir hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.2% in the 1. Deild, while Fjolnir holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fjolnir
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Fjolnir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50