Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Selfoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Selfoss are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fjolnir are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Selfoss hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.4% in the 2. Deild, while Selfoss holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Selfoss
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
6.4%
Selfoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00