Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Selangor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Selangor 2-1 Sabah FA
Original prediction
Selangor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 62.9% | 45.0% | -17.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 20.9% | 26.1% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 5.48 | 16.2% | 28.9% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Selangor
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Selangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SelangorWDWWL
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sabah FALDWWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SelangorSabah FA
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.55xG1.32