Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Selangor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Selangor 3-2 Melaka
Original prediction
Selangor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 82.4% | 60.8% | -21.6 pts |
| Draw | 7.69 | 11.7% | 20.6% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 15.26 | 5.9% | 18.6% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Selangor
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Selangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SelangorDWWLL
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MelakaLWLDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SelangorMelaka
100.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
95.8Power42.7
2.49xG1.13