Sekhukhune Unitedvs
Richards Bay
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · League Cup · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sekhukhune United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sekhukhune United 3-1 Richards Bay
Original prediction
Sekhukhune United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 05:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.3% | 40.5% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.4% | 30.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.3% | 29.3% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Sekhukhune United
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Sekhukhune United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20