Sekhukhune Unitedvs
Marumo Gallants
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sekhukhune United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sekhukhune United 1-0 Marumo Gallants, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sekhukhune United 2-1 Marumo Gallants
Original prediction
Sekhukhune United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.9% | 55.8% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.0% | 27.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.1% | 17.3% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Projected Score
Sekhukhune United 1–0 Marumo Gallants
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sekhukhune United
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Sekhukhune United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00