Sejong SAvs
Jungnang Chorus Mustang
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jungnang Chorus Mustang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sejong SA 0-5 Jungnang Chorus Mustang
Original prediction
Jungnang Chorus Mustang
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 33.7% | 29.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.6% | 22.6% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 39.7% | 48.4% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Jungnang Chorus Mustang
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Jungnang Chorus Mustang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20