Sejong SAvs
Jinju Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 9/12/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jinju Citizen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sejong SA 0-4 Jinju Citizen
Original prediction
Jinju Citizen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.3% | 12.0% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.5% | 14.6% | -8.9 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 50.1% | 73.3% | 23.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–311%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Jinju Citizen
Probability
73.3%
Model confidence
73.3%
Jinju Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60