Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sejong SA · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sejong SA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Haman are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sejong SA hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the K4 League, while Sejong SA holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sejong SA
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Sejong SA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75