Sejong SAvs
Gijang United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K4 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gijang United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sejong SA 5-2 Gijang United
Original prediction
Gijang United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 34.7% | 36.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.1% | 25.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.2% | 38.4% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Gijang United
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Gijang United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 22 · avg 1.40/4.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80