Segesta Sisakvs
NK Osijek
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Osijek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Segesta Sisak 3-1 NK Osijek
Original prediction
NK Osijek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.22 | 17.3% | 36.7% | 19.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.8% | 25.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 59.9% | 38.3% | -21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
NK Osijek
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
NK Osijek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 5 · avg 4.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80