GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 9/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Segesta Sisak · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Segesta Sisak 0-0 Kustosija

Original prediction

Segesta Sisak

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8349.6%44.6%-5.0 pts
Draw3.2927.6%28.3%0.7 pts
Away3.9922.8%27.1%4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Segesta Sisak

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Segesta Sisak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Segesta SisakLWWWD

GF 24 · GA 4 · avg 4.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KustosijaLWDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Segesta SisakKustosija
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
50.0Power26.7
1.54xG0.96
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