Segesta Sisakvs
Karlovac 1919
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Segesta Sisak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Segesta Sisak 1-1 Karlovac 1919
Original prediction
Segesta Sisak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.1% | 43.1% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 29.0% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.52 | 19.9% | 27.9% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Segesta Sisak
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Segesta Sisak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00