Segesta Sisakvs
Dugopolje
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Segesta Sisak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Segesta Sisak 2-1 Dugopolje
Original prediction
Segesta Sisak
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.7% | 40.9% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.0% | 28.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.3% | 30.3% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Segesta Sisak
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Segesta Sisak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 5 · avg 4.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40