Segesta Sisakvs
Dinamo Zagreb U21
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Segesta Sisak · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Segesta Sisak 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb U21
Original prediction
Segesta Sisak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.6% | 42.9% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.7% | 28.3% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.8% | 28.8% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Segesta Sisak
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Segesta Sisak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60