Segesta Sisakvs
Croatia Zmijavci
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croatia Zmijavci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Segesta Sisak 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci
Original prediction
Croatia Zmijavci
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.6% | 31.7% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 28.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.9% | 39.7% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Croatia Zmijavci
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Croatia Zmijavci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00