Seekirchenvs
Wallern / Marienkirchen
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - North · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wallern / Marienkirchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seekirchen 3-0 Wallern / Marienkirchen
Original prediction
Wallern / Marienkirchen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.79 | 23.5% | 16.6% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.5% | 17.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 56.0% | 65.9% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–48%
Predicted outcome
Wallern / Marienkirchen
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Wallern / Marienkirchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80