Seattle Soundersvs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/14/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Seattle Sounders are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20