GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/14/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Seattle Sounders are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle SoundersDDWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
San Jose EarthquakesDDWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Seattle SoundersSan Jose Earthquakes
39.2Attack66.7
56.9Defence52.6
47.1Form57.9
49.6Power58.9
1.17xG1.63
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