Seattle Soundersvs
New York Red Bulls
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/6/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Sounders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red Bulls
Original prediction
Seattle Sounders
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.6% | 50.6% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.4% | 22.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 26.0% | 26.9% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Seattle Sounders
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80