GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Seattle Sounders are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dallas

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle SoundersWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FC DallasLDDWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Seattle SoundersFC Dallas
39.2Attack59.3
56.9Defence53.7
47.1Form50.0
49.6Power55.6
1.16xG1.43
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