Seattle Soundersvs
Chicago Fire
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/29/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Seattle Sounders are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
13.4%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20