Seattle Soundersvs
Austin
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/20/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Sounders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Seattle Sounders are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Austin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Sounders hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Seattle Sounders holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Seattle Sounders
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
12.3%
Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00