Seattle Reign FC Wvs
San Diego Wave W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seattle Reign FC W 1-0 San Diego Wave W
Original prediction
San Diego Wave W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 32.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.1% | 30.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.5% | 37.5% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
San Diego Wave W
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20