Seattle Reign FC Wvs
North Carolina Courage W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seattle Reign FC W 0-1 North Carolina Courage W
Original prediction
Seattle Reign FC W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.8% | 37.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.7% | 25.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.4% | 36.9% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Seattle Reign FC W
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80