Seattle Reign FC Wvs
Houston Dash W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Seattle Reign FC W 1-0 Houston Dash W
Original prediction
Seattle Reign FC W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.0% | 40.2% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 29.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 24.9% | 30.7% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Seattle Reign FC W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00