GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Seattle Reign FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chicago Red Stars W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 30.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.5% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC W

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

15.5%

Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle Reign FC WDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Red Stars WDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Seattle Reign FC WChicago Red Stars W
43.1Attack16.7
54.9Defence38.9
47.1Form24.1
50.1Power30.1
1.79xG0.60
View match centre →