Seattle Reign FC Wvs
Bay FC W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Seattle Reign FC W 1-0 Bay FC W, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Seattle Reign FC W 2-0 Bay FC W
Original prediction
Seattle Reign FC W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.6% | 40.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 29.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.0% | 29.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Seattle Reign FC W 1–0 Bay FC W
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Seattle Reign FC W
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20