GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Washington Spirit W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Seattle Reign FC W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Washington Spirit W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the NWSL Women, while Washington Spirit W holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Washington Spirit W

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

15.1%

Washington Spirit W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle Reign FC WDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Washington Spirit WWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Seattle Reign FC WWashington Spirit W
42.6Attack50.9
57.4Defence70.2
50.0Form63.2
51.8Power62.9
0.79xG1.23
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