GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 4/16/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Seattle Reign FC W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while San Diego Wave W are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the NWSL Women, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle Reign FC WWL

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
San Diego Wave WWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Seattle Reign FC WSan Diego Wave W
42.6Attack41.7
57.4Defence65.0
50.0Form55.0
51.8Power55.9
0.95xG0.98
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