GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 3/28/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Seattle Reign FC W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Racing Louisville W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC W hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC W

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

11.9%

Seattle Reign FC W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle Reign FC WWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing Louisville WDLDWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Seattle Reign FC WRacing Louisville W
42.6Attack44.4
57.4Defence35.2
50.0Form31.5
51.8Power39.2
1.84xG1.00
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