GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 7/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Seattle Reign FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Portland Thorns W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Thorns W hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.7% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC

Probability

33.7%

Model confidence

33.7%

Seattle Reign FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle Reign FCLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Thorns WWDLWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Seattle Reign FCPortland Thorns W
42.6Attack56.1
57.4Defence50.9
50.0Form54.4
51.8Power54.6
1.33xG1.32
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