GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Reign FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Seattle Reign FC W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Houston Dash W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Reign FC W hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the NWSL Women, while Seattle Reign FC W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Reign FC

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

14.0%

Seattle Reign FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Seattle Reign FCWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Houston Dash WDLWDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Seattle Reign FCHouston Dash W
42.6Attack37.0
57.4Defence51.9
50.0Form37.0
51.8Power44.1
1.35xG0.84
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