GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/14/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SD Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

SD Raiders are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sydney Olympic are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SD Raiders hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the New South Wales NPL, while SD Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SD Raiders

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

9.9%

SD Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SD RaidersLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney OlympicLLLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SD RaidersSydney Olympic
50.0Attack36.9
44.0Defence28.6
45.2Form26.2
48.1Power32.9
2.43xG1.09
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