New South Wales NPLNew South Wales NPL
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 12:40
SD Raiders

SD Raiders

Home
W
01
Full time
Sydney FC U23

Sydney FC U23

Away
D
Ernie Smith Reserve
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
SD Raiders(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Sydney FC U23
Win probability
SD Raiders
46%
Draw
27%
Sydney FC U23
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
SD Raiders
73
Sydney FC U23
9
Defence
SD Raiders
66
Sydney FC U23
91
Momentum
SD Raiders
100
Sydney FC U23
33
Danger (xG)
SD Raiders
1.80
Sydney FC U23
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (SD Raiders)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Sydney FC U23)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (SD Raiders)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sydney FC U23)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SD RaidersSD Raiders
WLD
Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23
DWW

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
SD Raiders46%
Draw27%
Sydney FC U2328%

SD Raiders leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

SD Raiders head into this in New South Wales NPL fixture at Ernie Smith Reserve in mixed form (W), while Sydney FC U23 arrive in mixed form (D). SD Raiders have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Sydney FC U23 over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — SD Raiders (66/100) and Sydney FC U23 (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

SD Raiders have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Sydney FC U23 have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Sydney FC U23 have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects SD Raiders to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: SD Raiders 4576%, Draw 2665%, Sydney FC U23 2759%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

SD Raiders 0Draws 01 Sydney FC U23
Avg goals: 1.0
30 Jun 2026
SD Raiders
L01
Sydney FC U23

Recent form

SD Raiders

SD Raiders

W
@ Rochedale Rovers
14 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Sydney FC U23
30 Jun 2026
01
D
vs Sutherland Sharks
16 May 2026
22
Sydney FC U23

Sydney FC U23

D
vs Manly United
17 Jul 2026
00
W
@ SD Raiders
30 Jun 2026
10
W
vs Sydney Olympic
15 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SD Raiders vs Sydney FC U23?

GoalVio's model predicts SD Raiders to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SD Raiders vs Sydney FC U23?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in SD Raiders vs Sydney FC U23?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SD Raiders vs Sydney FC U23?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more