SD Raidersvs
Sydney
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 8/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SD Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sydney are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while SD Raiders are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (85.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Australia Cup, while Sydney holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SD Raiders
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
9.1%
SD Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40