GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutherland Sharks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SD Raiders are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sutherland Sharks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutherland Sharks hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sutherland Sharks holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutherland Sharks

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Sutherland Sharks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SD RaidersDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sutherland SharksLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SD RaidersSutherland Sharks
50.0Attack53.1
44.0Defence58.0
45.2Form53.1
48.1Power56.3
1.33xG1.68
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