GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 2/18/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SD Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SD Raiders are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while St. George Saints are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and St. George Saints hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while SD Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SD Raiders

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

SD Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SD RaidersLW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
St. George SaintsWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
SD RaidersSt. George Saints
71.1Attack74.4
52.2Defence55.6
61.1Form64.4
61.3Power64.5
2.05xG2.00
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